Some thoughts on Russia and Ukraine (i.e. How We Got Here)

Although in college I majored in history, with a focus on 19th century American history, my minor was political science with a focus on the Soviet Union and Russia. So I studied Russian history and culture, took three semesters of Russian language and one of Russian literature, and a variety of courses about the collapse of the Soviet Union, the political reshaping of Eastern Europe (including the conflicts in the former Yugoslavia), and post-Communism Russia. It’s a fascinating country, and has loomed large in the history of Europe, particularly its neighbors in Eastern Europe, like Ukraine. I have admired Russian writers, adored Russian composers, and occasionally tried some Russian food, although frankly I liked the food much less than other aspects of Russian culture. Making Russian friends also gave me the chance to practice my Russian language skills, and my mastery of Russian profanity and idioms made some of my Russian friends laugh and at least one stop in her tracks and say “Where did you learn THAT?” My background in Russian also came in handy a bit when I worked in the defense industry. But after I left the industry in 2009, I just didn’t really get the chance to do much with all that knowledge anymore.

Then in 2013, something happened in Ukraine. The Ukrainian parliament had voted overwhelmingly in favor of an agreement with the European Union that the President of Ukraine (Viktor Yanukovych) then refused to sign, apparently due to influence from Russia. Protests began in Independence Square in Kyiv that quickly grew massive as Ukrainians wanting closer relations with Europe began demanding the resignation of not only President Yanukovych but the entire Azarov government as well. The protests which began in November 2013 became known as Yevromaidan (or more commonly in English, Euromaidan) after a Twitter account appeared with that name and quickly gained popularity. Euromaidan soon became the largest pro-democracy movement in Europe since 1989. Protestors were particularly angry with Yanukovych’s blatant corruption, official malfeasance, and especially human rights violations, which was further emphasized by his crackdown on protesters beginning on November 30th, resulting in dozens of people injured (including several journalists) after numerous excessive force incidents by the Berkut riot police. The response by the public was overwhelmingly in support of the protesters, and more than 500,000 Kyivans (some estimates went as high as 800,000) joined them in the streets. Violence continued to escalate the following day and then on December 11 a government force of about 4,000 Berkut, VV internal troops, and government-paid street thugs (known as Titushky) attacked the protester camp just after 1 AM with the intent to clear it out. People were summoned to the square by the ringing of the bells of St. Michael’s Golden-Domed Monastery continuously for four hours. Ultimately the protesters prevailed and pushed the government forces completely out of the square.

The government responded by passing severe laws against public protests. This precipitated violent clashes between protesters and police on Hrushevsky Street not far from Independence Square between January 19 and January 22nd, 2014. This led to the occupation of government buildings by protesters all over Ukraine. The anti-protest laws were repealed (mostly) and Prime Minister Mykola Azarov resigned on January 28th. This, plus an amnesty issued to protesters on February 16th, calmed tensions down briefly before violence again broke out on February 18th. The worst violence was on February 20th, when the outbreak of protests that became known as the Revolution of Dignity led to the deaths of nearly 100 protesters and 13 police officers. Most of the protester deaths were from rooftop police snipers, who began firing on the protesters as they advanced. The following day an agreement was signed between Yanukovych and his political opposition that organized an interim government and created reforms such as changes in the constitution and new elections. Despite signing the agreement, and despite the fact that he would have remained president (with some of his powers limited), Yanukovych fled Kyiv in secret that evening. The next day the Ukrainian parliament voted unanimously to remove Yanukovych since he had abandoned his official duties and also voted to reinstate the 2004 constitution.

Yanukovych had fled to Russia, where he had a press conference on February 28th. He declared the planned elections in Ukraine “illegal.” In turn, Russian President Vladimir Putin declared what happened in Ukraine a “coup” while at the same time ordering the Russian military to make plans to seize Crimea. Beginning on February 27, 2014 Russian spetznaz (they had removed all Russian insignia but weren’t fooling anyone) seized control of most of the Ukrainian military bases in Crimea, the Simferopol Airport, and government buildings in Crimea. Putin and Russian media pretended that these “mysterious” troops were locals who had “spontaneously” risen up and uniformed and equipped themselves from military surplus stores and the Ukrainian military. But of course, it was utter bullshit – they were Russian troops seizing Ukrainian territory. Russia’s bald-faced seizure of Crimea was followed by a “referendum” on March 16, 2014 in which local voters were given two choices, neither of which was to remain Ukrainian. The campaign before the election was in essence pro-Russian, with posters accusing the new Ukrainian government of being fascists and Neo-Nazis and featuring crossed-out swastikas. Ironically, the Russians invited election observers from Europe who were entirely from European far-right political parties and groups, some of which were almost certainly actual neo-Nazis. Unsurprisingly, the observers said everything was fine with the referendum, with between 95 and 98% of votes cast in favor of becoming part of Russia. This was the first time a European country had annexed another European country’s territory since World War Two. At the same time that Russia took Crimea, protests that were pro-Russian and anti-Maidan began in parts of southern and eastern Ukraine, the parts of Ukraine where ethnic Russians were concentrated and Russian was more commonly spoken. In the eastern Donbas, this became an active conflict between pro-Russian separatists and the new Ukrainian government. Again, the Russians secretly fed the conflict with men and materiel. By August, 2014 Ukraine had regained much of its territory, which in turn led the Russians to step up their military intervention and help the pro-Russian forces take back most of the lost territory.

An agreement was signed in Minsk in September 2014 that implemented a cease-fire and was supposed to lead to elections in December. But the separatists preempted this with their own elections in November, which of course the Russians embraced, in defiance of the Minsk agreement they had signed. In January 2015 the Russians sent another sizable military force into the war to help the separatists and Ukraine lost control of Donetsk and Debaltseve by the end of the month. So in February a second attempt at peace was made in Minsk with the participation of Belarus, Russia, Germany, France, and Ukraine. Ukraine was struggling. Russia was pouring weapons and soldiers into the area while still pretending that they weren’t, even arguing that they couldn’t help with the implementation of the new Minsk agreement because they weren’t really involved in the war. This absurdity was further complicated by repeated violations of the ceasefire and also by the arguments between the combatants over local elections in the two Ukrainian Oblasts where the separatists were concentrated: Donetsk and Luhansk. After being postponed from the fall of 2015 to the spring of 2016, the elections were postponed to July and then postponed again to November 2016.

This mess continued, more or less, until 2019 when a new agreement was signed by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), Ukraine, Russia, and the Russian-controlled oblasts of Donetsk and Luhansk with their weird Russian-controlled-but-pretending-not-to-be governments. I am not going to try to coherently explain that whole period because frankly, it’s a huge mess. I don’t understand everything, and I have studied it closely. By this time Volodymyr Zelenskyy had been elected President of Ukraine, and his whole story (though fascinating) is beyond the scope of this post. But just know that Zelenskyy tried in good faith (I believe) to end the war in Donbas through the Minsk agreements and probably still thought he could have talks with Putin and achieve peace as late as 2021 or possibly early 2022. But Putin has never, ever, ever, in my opinion, negotiated in good faith. Even after massive troops buildups near the Ukrainian border, Russian officials kept insisting that Russia did not have plans to invade Ukraine as late as February 23, 2022. And so naturally they invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022.

That brings us up to the war as it currently taking place. It is the largest and bloodiest (by far) war in Europe since World War Two. And the reason it is happening at all is entirely due to Vladimir Putin and Russia. Russia seems to have thought it would be able to capture Kyiv within a few days, and basically control the country within less than two weeks. Putin’s speech he gave on Russian media at the start of the invasion was full of all sorts of ridiculous and totally baseless claims: Russian troops were “peacekeepers” coming in to save the people of Donetsk and Luhansk from Ukrainian “neo-Nazis” that were controlled by the West. He also claimed that Ukraine was committing genocide against ethnic Russians, that Ukraine was trying to build nuclear weapons, and that they were allowing NATO to build secret bases on their territory or some shit. He also claimed Russia just wanted the “demilitarization and deNazification” of Ukraine. The amount of horseshit that is flowing out of Russia concerning Ukraine and the war is enough to fertilize the Sahara Desert. People pushing the Russian talking points CANNOT BE TRUSTED. Sadly, that includes a lot of westerners, including Americans from both the far-right and far-left of the political spectrum. If you think that they aren’t doing it for the money (and I am willing to bet a lot of them are in fact being paid by Russia), you are probably wrong.

I still love much about Russian history and culture. But Russia is led by one of the most awful people on the planet, and nothing and no one will convince me otherwise, ever. The day he is gone will be a joyous day for humanity, kind of like a certain orange person we all know and hate.

So, anyway. Whew. That was a lot of work. Hopefully a good summary. My apologies for the preponderance of Wikipedia links, but since most media is now stuck behind paywalls, my options are much more limited.

-Geoff

Some thoughts on the state of America

One of the things I have missed about regularly posting on our blog has been the ability to really work out my thoughts in writing, which is ordinarily not something I get to do much anymore. We don’t use social media much these days, especially since Elon Musk bought Twitter and then proceeded to wreck it. I am still on Twitter (I steadfastly refuse to call it X), because there are still good people on there and I refuse to let Elon and his troll mob chase me away. Kelly is on Instagram a good bit. But Twitter is not designed to really let you express yourself eloquently when you have to pay Elon money to write anything more than 140 characters long. And he has enough money, he doesn’t need any of ours.

The 2026 midterm elections are now less than a month away, and I am admittedly a bit apprehensive about what will happen. All hyperbole aside, this election is going to be immensely consequential because it may present the only chance the American public has to stop Trump and his enablers in Congress before the 2028 presidential election. Without even going into whether or not the 2028 election is going to happen and whether Trump will put himself on the ballot, I am just not sure how much damage will be done to the country by November 2028 to be confident that we can wait until then. Trump’s first term was bad enough. But after having four years to plan how they would do things differently if they returned to power, Trump and his supporters have been rapid and methodical in their destruction of America’s reputation on the world stage, in the erosion of our civil liberties, in the sheer scale and variety of the virtually open public corruption now happening, and in the reduction or elimination of countless Federal programs and departments (much of it through DOGE) that were designed to serve the public good. It will take decades, possibly generations, to repair all of the damage that is being done, and I think we don’t even know or understand the full scale of it all yet.

The Republican party essentially no longer exists except to support Donald Trump. It has become increasingly authoritarian and even less willing to tolerate dissent than before, which hardly seems possible. I am somewhat encouraged by the fact that Trump’s popularity of late has weakened considerably, but I worry that the Democrats, particularly among their leadership, may not measure up to the crisis that is building. Supposedly they are planning for all sorts of possible problems that may happen concerning the midterms. I sincerely hope so. I have great confidence in local and state officials here in Vermont. My confidence in the Democratic party at the national level is less than I would like. And I worry that there will be voters that, although they don’t like or trust Trump and his party, they may not feel great about the Democrats either. And that needs to change. People desperately want to see real results. I know we do. People need to feel like it is still possible to save our democracy and that the Democrats are able and willing to do so. I think that is what people want and need to hear.

-Geoff

Election Day 2020

We have been waiting four long years for this day to arrive. Frankly, I am so nervous about the whole thing that I had trouble sleeping last night (as I knew I would). Good thing I have today and tomorrow off from work.

 

Continue reading “Election Day 2020”

Today in History – the PTBT. Plus commentary on current events.

Today, October 7th, is the 57th anniversary of President John F. Kennedy signing the Partial Test Ban Treaty, officially known as the Treaty Banning Nuclear Weapon Tests in the Atmosphere, in Outer Space, and Under Water.

Considering how dangerously close we had gotten to World War III during the Cuban Missile Crisis the previous October, this treaty was a long step towards a permanent solution to the dangers of nuclear war. I am old enough to remember the last few times we really had to worry about nuclear war, like back in 1983. That was the year the TV movie “The Day After” came out, and also happened to be the year we had a couple of close calls of which the American public was blissfully unaware.

One of our more interesting Brimfield finds. Although you can find similar Fallout Shelter signs online for sale, I have not seen any others that include the “Capacity” markings.

Continue reading “Today in History – the PTBT. Plus commentary on current events.”

I have to vote for Joe. So do you.

Joe Biden was not my first choice as the Democratic Presidential Nominee. He wasn’t even on the list to be honest. But I will vote for him and Kamala Harris on or before November 3rd with my last breath if necessary. Anyone who is a registered voter in the US who does otherwise is a fool.

There have been a lot of people writing think pieces both before and now after the DNC about how Joe is reaching the “middle of the party” and Kamala is reaching out to the “Black vote” and how that “will heal the party”. I’m also personally seeing a LOT of folks on twitter and elsewhere who are angry. They’re angry that out of a field of Democratic candidates that included LGBTQ and BIPOC candidates for the top of the ticket we ended up with yet another old white guy.

I get that. And yet I’m still going to do whatever I have to in order to make sure that my vote for Biden/Harris is counted for November 3rd. This isn’t quite a hold my nose a vote situation, but it isn’t far off.

Here’s the thing, our country is literally and figuratively on fire right now. We’ve got nearly 200,000 dead of COVID-19, a number that could have been So. Much. Smaller. had we a competent administration in office. And that number, which is likely wildly low thanks to intentional failures of reporting in lots of states, doesn’t including “unrelated” but absolutely caused by COVID deaths such as suicides, domestic violence, overdoses, and the like.

Millions are out of work, the rights of humans all across this country are being stripped away in myriad ways, people are marching in the streets to try and, as I saw someone say the other day, “Legalize Blackness” and yet actual Nazis walk free in this land that fought to bring down the Third Reich. We have white supremacists and Nazis in our highest offices in the government and they’re enriching themselves and their billionaire friends at unprecedented rates all at the cost of the rest of us.

And yet I hear people saying that they won’t vote for Biden/Harris because, “she’s a cop” “he’s a white man” “he wasn’t my top choice” “I would have preferred X” “I can’t vote for someone who put black people in jail” etc, etc.

Here’s the thing. Biden/Harris are not gonna save us, they’re not gonna fix it all. No administration in the history of ever has done that. Not in one term, not in two, not in three.

But another term with Trump will kill us. That’s a fact.

And sitting in a position where you put your personal distaste of Biden or Harris over the good of this nation is a position of extreme privilege. If we expect the Republicans to put country over party then we should expect the same of ourselves, especially right now.

I want ranked choice voting. I want more than 2 parties. I wish it wasn’t this way. But right now, this is how it is. Right now, is not the time to try and make those things happen. Right now we’re voting for our very survival. We’re voting for our lives.

People are dying. If you don’t know someone who has died of or been ill with COVID, just wait. You will. And another 4 years of looting the American public, deaths en mass, and a destroyed government infrastructure is going to be the least of our worries if Trump isn’t beaten in a landslide.

Trump and his cabal are the greatest danger to our country, to each of us individually, and to the world any of us has seen in our lifetime. Every vote for anyone other than Biden/Harris is a vote for Trump. Hold your nose and and do your job as a citizen of this Republic and vote to save it.

Then, let’s get to work on fixing it.

Kelly

 

Lily Tomlin was right. No matter how cynical you get, it’s impossible to keep up.

Well.  It has been a long time since I have posted anything political.  And that is because frankly, it has been just too depressing a topic to really talk about lately, particularly when I try to put it all in historical perspective, which is what I do – after all, I am a historian.

Not to be too dramatic, but I am really, really worried.

Continue reading “Lily Tomlin was right. No matter how cynical you get, it’s impossible to keep up.”

2016 just can’t end fast enough

Well.  Where to begin.

Yes, 2016 has not been a great year for all sorts of reasons.  In that sense.  John Oliver is right  (see below, and definitely not safe for work).

We can’t wait for it to be over either.

Yes, there have been some good things that happened this year.  Kelly and I finally have a house of our own, and we love it.  Just this past weekend we put up our Christmas tree for the first time in several years.  I was smiling from ear to ear.  I just couldn’t help myself.  As silly as it might seem to some people, putting up the tree in our living room as we listened to Christmas music was one of the most serene and happy moments I have had in a long, long time.  It meant the world to me.

Also, there was the addition of little Violet to our family a few weeks after we moved to Winthrop, and we love her very much.  She is an absolutely sweet and affectionate little thing and we could not have hoped for a better addition to our little family.  She has found all sorts of little places around the house to sleep, and one of my favorite things to do around the new house is to find the new places where she has decided to sit and/or nap.

We spent our Thanksgiving day in New Hampshire at my sister Liz’s house, after picking up my Aunt Donna from her place (also in NH now) and heading over to have Thanksgiving as a late lunch.  And we had a pretty good time, all things considered.  Luckily, we managed to avoid all discussions of politics.

So yes, while I can’t avoid discussing politics forever, I am going to put off talking about it for a little because I wanted to end this post on a positive note. While I have much to see about current events I will still try to put up some more pictures of the new place, as well as some pictures of all of our furry “kids” together.  It is the season for that sort of thing.

Much love to all our family, friends and acquaintances.

-Geoff

More thoughts on this historic election day: part two

Bear with me, because this post is a LOT longer.  I just have too much of a need to vent.

After I picked Kelly up from work, we pahked the cah in our driveway and walked (in my case, limped/hobbled) down to our polling place here in Winthrop.  We had never been there before, but luckily it was even closer than we thought it was.  There was a line, but it wasn’t that bad, and we were fortunate in that we got through the line and voted pretty quickly.  I know other people around the greater Boston area (and around the country, for that matter) had to wait for hours.  So we walked home and I made some dinner so we could settle in for the evening and watch the returns.

Continue reading “More thoughts on this historic election day: part two”

Some thoughts on this historic election day, part one

Yes, historic.  No, I am not being overly dramatic.

I have plenty to say, but as an introduction I want all of you to hear what Samantha Bee has to say because she puts it in its proper perspective and frankly, it’s something I think we all need to hear.

She’s right.  As Kelly pointed out on our Twitter feed earlier today, a lot of people (particularly women) see this election in its proper context as (quite probably*) the first election of a woman to the office of President of the United States.  And that is absolutely HUGE.

More to follow soon, I promise.

-Geoff

*Unless this turns into another too-close-to-call nail biter like 2000, we’ll probably know soon enough, won’t we?

Dear Benioff and Weiss… WHAT ARE YOU DOING?!?!?!?

OK guys, I get it.  George just hasn’t been able to crank out the books fast enough, and now the TV show has caught up to the books, more or less.  So now you no longer have all that juicy source material to work from, you just have whatever tidbits GRRM has given you about where the story is going.  That’s fine.

But guys?  I’m worried.  Frankly, you are starting to scare me a little bit.  Not having Book Six or Book Seven to work from does not mean that you should suddenly become nihilists.  It’s not a race to see who can kill more characters.  Moving the story forward does not mean taking a large metaphorical dump on the hopes and dreams of the fans, ok?

Continue reading “Dear Benioff and Weiss… WHAT ARE YOU DOING?!?!?!?”